Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.023314 0.025058 0.026877 0.028916 0.031141 0.033499 0.036191
2025-01-12 0.020018 0.022440 0.025092 0.028224 0.031830 0.035867 0.040748
2025-01-19 0.018310 0.021189 0.024465 0.028488 0.033323 0.038978 0.046140
2025-01-26 0.016883 0.020040 0.023743 0.028440 0.034283 0.041371 0.050707
2025-02-02 0.015940 0.019339 0.023433 0.028774 0.035624 0.044207 0.055922
2025-02-09 0.014886 0.018397 0.022721 0.028500 0.036110 0.045919 0.059732
2025-02-16 0.014048 0.017654 0.022184 0.028373 0.036723 0.047771 0.063789
2025-02-23 0.013280 0.016939 0.021623 0.028148 0.037151 0.049353 0.067530
2025-03-02 0.012678 0.016401 0.021247 0.028127 0.037820 0.051267 0.071829
2025-03-09 0.012006 0.015725 0.020641 0.027739 0.037932 0.052370 0.074983
2025-03-16 0.011350 0.015036 0.019975 0.027218 0.037801 0.053087 0.077567
2025-03-23 0.010837 0.014514 0.019509 0.026945 0.037998 0.054271 0.080917
2025-03-30 0.010353 0.014015 0.019055 0.026669 0.038182 0.055457 0.084378
2025-04-06 0.009810 0.013407 0.018417 0.026088 0.037866 0.055846 0.086567
2025-04-13 0.009557 0.013202 0.018346 0.026340 0.038827 0.058269 0.092264
2025-04-20 0.009239 0.012885 0.018094 0.026298 0.039320 0.059960 0.096835
2025-04-27 0.009038 0.012731 0.018071 0.026603 0.040367 0.062602 0.103233
2025-05-04 0.008702 0.012361 0.017708 0.026353 0.040499 0.063725 0.107007
2025-05-11 0.008422 0.012063 0.017440 0.026237 0.040838 0.065203 0.111521
2025-05-18 0.008136 0.011745 0.017127 0.026033 0.041011 0.066399 0.115584
2025-05-25 0.007913 0.011513 0.016936 0.026013 0.041490 0.068145 0.120809
2025-06-01 0.007623 0.011168 0.016554 0.025660 0.041374 0.068821 0.124003
2025-06-08 0.007320 0.010793 0.016110 0.025184 0.041017 0.069036 0.126289